台湾警告:若中国攻台全球经济损失将大于乌克兰战争

Jun 15, 2022 | 🚀 Fathership

台湾行政院政务委员兼经贸谈判办公室总谈判代表邓振中日前表示,中国如果发动对台湾的军事攻击,全球贸易遭受的冲击将比乌克兰战争所带来的影响更大,而且还将导致半导体芯片供应短缺。

出席世贸组织部长级会议的邓振中6月14日在日内瓦对路透社表示:中国攻打台湾的话,“对国际供应链的扰乱,对国际经济秩序的冲击,以及对成长机会的影响都将远远超过目前的(乌克兰战争)”。他特别提到全球都主要依赖台湾提供用于电动汽车和手机的半导体芯片,供应短缺将是世界性的。

台湾在经济和贸易方面是小而强,尤其在半导体芯片的先进制程方面引领全世界。台湾政府数据显示,去年台湾出口的总价值高达4464亿美元,其中1180亿美元来自半导体芯片出口。

世贸组织是世界上很少的台海两岸都派驻代表、并且能够并肩工作的国际组织。但是邓振中在这次世贸部长级会议期间,也毫不客气地指责北京违反世贸规范,因立陶宛支持台湾而禁止这个波罗的海小国的商品进口,同时以政治考量禁止台湾的水果和石斑鱼进口。

台海两岸政治军事关系十分紧张,但两岸的贸易往来仍然十分活跃。中国大陆是台湾最大的贸易伙伴和贸易顺差来源,台湾每年出口总额的40%是输往中国大陆。因此邓振中向路透社表示,台湾希望降低在贸易上对中国大陆的依赖。


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Talent shortage in Singapore with 8 in 10 employers reporting difficulty in filling roles

Jun 15, 2022 | 🚀 Fathership

In ManpowerGroup Singapore's Q2 Employment Outlook Survey, the company revealed positive sentiments regarding pay increments and bonuses. In the latest edition of this report, for Q3, the sentiments have shifted towards hiring between the July to September 2022 period - labelled as "a record high" in the report.

In brief, Singapore’s net employment outlook (NEO) is at +40%, with the previous "record high" being in Q4 2011 at +31%. Further, employers surveyed in all 11 sectors (i.e. communications & media, manufacturing, and construction) anticipate positive headcount growth in Q3, with not-for-profit employers reporting "strongest" hiring intentions at 67%.

Despite the optimistic outlook, Singapore’s talent shortage level has been found to be at "its highest in 16 years", with more than eight in 10 (84%) employers reporting difficulty in filling roles. This statistic represented a 20% increase from 2021. Prior to that, talent shortage levels were quite high in 2018 at 56%, and in 2010 at 53%. According to the findings, the most difficult-to-fill roles are in restaurants & hotels (97%), other services (89%), and construction (88%).

That said, the "most sought-after" professions are: IT & data, operation & logistics, sales & marketing, manufacturing & production, and customer facing & front office. On top of that, employers are also looking at soft skills such as critical thinking & analysis, creativity & originality, resilience & adaptability, leadership & social influence, and reasoning & problem solving.

"The shift from pandemic to endemic has given companies greater clarity on their business outlooks," explained Linda Teo, Country Manager, ManpowerGroup Singapore. "Employers are ramping up their hiring due to a combination of factors like pent-up demand for manpower, employee attrition, and shortage of workers with the right skillsets."

Dissecting the local numbers

Filtering Singapore's NEO figure, analysts discovered that:

  • More than half (52%) of employers plan to hire;
  • More than one in 10 (12%) of employers expect a staffing decrease;
  • Close to four in 10 (35%) of employers plan to keep workforce levels steady, and
  • Less than five in 10 (2%) of employers are undecided about the hiring/talent scene.

In addition to not-for-profit employers having strong hiring intentions, those in other services (professional, scientific & technical, and administrative & support) similarly have positive intentions at 59%. These employers are then followed by those in banking, finance, insurance & real estate (56%), wholesale & retail trade (50%), and restaurants & hotels (46%).

A global perspective

Of the more than 40,000 employers surveyed across the globe, many are likewise expecting to hire more workers in the Q3 2022. According to findings, the global NEO is at +33% - which revealed hiring intentions to "increase year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter" respectively at +18% and +4%. In terms of per country/territory data, Mexico ranks top with a +59% NEO, while India has a +51%; Mainland China +29%, and Hong Kong +11%.

India's NEO is the strongest in the APAC region for the second consecutive quarter, up 13% since Q2. As for Hong Kong's NEO, it improved by 8% compared to Q2 2022, and by 10% compared to the previous year.

Looking at the hiring/talent scene, analysts discovered that digital roles continue to drive "most demand" with employers in IT & technology (+44%). This is followed by those in banking, finance, insurance & real estate (+38%), construction (33%), and manufacturing (33%).